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Vol. 33, issue 12, article # 8

Gubenko I. M., Rubinshtein K. G. Analysis of comprehensive forecast of lightning activity. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2020. V. 33. No. 12. P. 949–957. DOI: 10.15372/AOO20201208 [in Russian].
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Abstract:

Results of lightning activity forecast over the territory of the Moscow region for the period June 1 – August 31, 2017, are presented. The validation is made for forecasts based on the atmospheric instability indices, Cb electrification model, and WRF-ELEC module. The predictions of WRF-ARW model are used as input data. The indices Total Totals, SWEAT, CAPE, Iww, K (Whiting), and Peskov are studied. Estimation is performed using the Worldwide Lightning Location Network (WWLLN). The WWLLN data are preliminary compared with meteorological data.

Keywords:

thunderstorms, Moscow region, WRF-ARW, convection, electrification models, instability indices

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