Vol. 17, issue 05-06, article # 20

pdf Protasov A. V., Ogorodnikov V. A. Dynamical probabilistic modeling of climate processes of admixture transport on a regional scale. // Atmospheric and oceanic optics. 2004. V. 17. No. 05-06. P. 439-442.
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For a given local region of the Northern Hemisphere, a dynamical probabilistic modeling is used to construct a local climate ensemble of six-hour spatiotemporal realizations of the fields of meteorological quantities. This ensemble is matched with the corresponding background regional climate ensemble using a variational method of information assimilation. For construction of ensemble of realizations, a combined statistical/hydrodynamic modeling is used involving real information on the statistical structure of the corresponding fields of meteorological variables. Based on this ensemble, we propose a multistep method of climate modeling.