Vol. 32, issue 11, article # 5

Pustovalov K. N., Kharyutkina E. V., Korolkov V. A., Nagorsky P. M. Variability in resources of solar and wind energy in the Russian sector of Arctic. // Optika Atmosfery i Okeana. 2019. V. 32. No. 11. P. 908–914. DOI: 10.15372/AOO20191105 [in Russian].
Copy the reference to clipboard
Abstract:

Based on observational data of meteorological stations and reanalysis data, seasonal-daily values of total radiation and wind speed in the Russian sector of the Arctic were estimated over the time interval 1987–2016. Possible climate change effect was also considered. It was revealed that the total solar energy flux reached the peak values in June (7–8 kW h/m2); moreover, its increase was noted in summer months, when moving from west to east. The median values of wind speed in the region were 4–6 m/s and they were not significantly changed during a year. Minimal values of wind speed increased from winter to summer, and the maximal ones decreased. When moving from west to east, as well as from north to south a decrease in median and extreme wind speed values was observed. It was established that the frequency of wind speed less than 1.5 m/s, on average in the region, was 9%, and it varied from 4 to 20%, and the duration of windless periods did not exceed 3 hours (p = 95%). The probability of appearance of intervals with wind speed less than 1.5 m/s decreased with an increase in the length of these time intervals according to the exponential distribution law. Thus, a joint usage of solar and wind energy potential in the northern regions of Russia gives rise to all prerequisites in accelerated development of renewable energy sources in the Russian Arctic.

Keywords:

Arctic, renewable energy sources, solar radiation, wind speed

References:

  1. Berdin V.H., Kokorin A.O., Yulkin G.M., Yulkin M.A. Vozobnovlyaemye istochniki energii v izolirovannyh naselennyh punktah Rossijskoj Arktiki. M.: Vsemirnyj fond dikoj prirody, 2017. 80 p.
  2. Smolentsev D.O. Razvitie energetiki Arktiki: problemy i vozmozhnosti maloj generatsii // Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika. 2012. N 3 (7). P. 22–29.
  3. Solov'ev D.A. Malaya energetika v Arktike: problemy adaptatsii i riski // Energiya: ekonomika, tehnika, ekologiya. 2017. N 11. P. 14–21.
  4. Popel' O.S., Kiseleva S.V., Morgunova M.O. Ispol'zovanie vozobnovlyaemyh istochnikov energii dlya energosnabzheniya potrebitelej v Arkticheskoj zone Rossijskoj Federatsii // Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika. 2015. N 1 (17). P. 64–69.
  5. Мtoroj otsenochnyj doklad Rosgidrometa ob izmeneniyah klimata i ih posledstviyah na territorii Rossijskoj Federatsii. M.: NITS Planeta, 2014. 58 p.
  6. Radionov V.F., Rusina E.N., Sibir E.E. Spetsifika mnogoletnej izmenchivosti summarnoj solnechnoj radiatsii i harakteristik prozrachnosti // Problemy Arktiki i Antarktiki. 2007. N 76. P. 131–136.
  7. Surkova G.V., Krylov A.A. Izmeneniya srednih i ekstremal'nyh skorostej vetra v Arktike v kontse XXI veka // Arktika i Antarktika. 2018. N 3. P. 26–36.
  8. Karamov D.N. Matematicheskoe modelirovanie solnechnoj radiatsii s ispol'zovaniem mnogoletnih meteorologicheskih ryadov, nahodyashchihsya v otkrytom dostupe // Izv. Tomskogo politeh. un-ta. Inzhiniring georesursov. 2017. V. 328, N 6. P. 28–37.
  9. Sherstyukov B.G. Klimaticheskie usloviya Arktiki i novye podhody k prognozu izmeneniya klimata // Arktika i Sever. 2016. N 24. P. 39-67.
  10.  Minin V.A. Resursy netraditsionnyh i vozobnovlyaemyh istochnikov energii Murmanskoj oblasti i prioritety ih ispol'zovaniya // Vestn. Kol'skogo nauch. tsentra RAN. 2010. N 1. P. 94–101.
  11.  Avtomatizirovannaya Informatsionnaya Sistema Obrabotki Rezhimnoj Informatsii (AISORI) [Elektronnyj resurs] // Vseros. nauch.-issled. In-t gidrometeorol. inform. (VNIIGM-MTSD) URL: http://aisori.meteo.ru/ClimateR (data obrashcheniya: 14.03.2019).
  12.  Kattsov V.M., Porfir'ev B.N. Klimaticheskie izmeneniya v Arktike: posledstviya dlya okruzhayushchej sredy i ekonomiki // Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika. 2012. N 2 (6). P. 66–79.
  13.  Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change / S. Solomon, D. Qin, M. Manning, Z. Chen, M. Marquis, K.B. Averyt, M. Tignor, H.L. Miller (eds.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007. 996 p.
  14.  Makosko A.A. Gidrometeorologicheskoe obespechenie plavaniya po trassam Severnogo morskogo puti // Arktika: ekologiya i ekonomika. 2013. N 3 (11). P. 40–49.
  15.  Doklad ob osobennostyah klimata na territorii Rossijskoj Federatsii za 2014 year. M.: Rosgidromet, 2015. 107 p.
  16.  Kokorin A.O., Karelin D.V., Stetsenko A.V. Vozdejstvie izmeneniya klimata na Rossijskuyu Arktiku: analiz i puti resheniya problemy. M.: Vsemirnyj fond dikoj prirody, 2008. 28 p.
  17. Semenov V.A., Mohov I.I., Polonskij A.B. Modelirovanie vliyaniya estestvennoj dolgoperiodnoj izmenchivosti v Severnoj Atlantike na formirovanie anomalij klimata // Morskoj gidrofiz. zhurn. 2014. N 4. P. 14–27.
  18. Alekseev G.V., Radionov V.F., Smolyanitskij V.M., Fil'chuk K.V. Rezul'taty i perspektivy issledovanij klimata i klimaticheskogo obsluzhivaniya v Arktike // Problemy Arktiki i Antarktiki. 2018. V. 64, N 3. P. 262–267.
  19. Philipona R., Behrens K., Ruckstuhl C. How declining aerosols and rising greenhouse gases forced rapid warming in Europe since the 1980s // Geophys. Res. Lett. 2009. V. 36. P. L02806.
  20. Alekseev G.V., Kuz'mina S.I., Urazgil'deeva A.V., Bobylev L.P. Vliyanie atmosfernyh perenosov tepla i vlagi na usilenie potepleniya v Arktike v zimnij period // Fundam. i prikl. klimatol. 2016. V. 1. P. 43–63.
  21. Van der Swaluf E., Drijfhout S., Hazeleger W. Bjerknes compensation at high northern latitudes: The Ocean Forcing the Atmosphere // J. Climate. 2007. V. 20. P. 6023–6032.
  22. Thompson D.W.J., Wallace J.M. The Arctic oscillation signature in the wintertime geopotential height and temperature fields // Geophys. Rev. Lett. 1998. V. 25. P. 1297–1300.